According to the AGA, the 2018 March Madness generated over $10 billion in total wagers nationwide.That figure covers everything from casual office pools to targeted one-game wagers through an online sportsbook. This represents 6.6 percent of the combined sum Americans bet on sports every year. What are the odds of picking a perfect March Madness bracket sheet? Since 2014, billionaire investment guru Warren Buffet has issued a challenge that seems too good to be true.
Anybody who can predict all 63 games in the NCAA Tournament will receive $1 million every year for the rest of their life. That challenge remains unfulfilled through five years and counting though. Thanks in large part to the astronomical odds against nailing a spotless bracket. Picking all 63 games requires perfect accuracy on a one-on-one matchup 63 times over, or 2^63 in math geek lingo. All told, that equation equates to odds of 1 in over 9.2 quintillions. Making a perfect bracket exactly one trillion times less likely than getting struck by lightning twice in a lifetime. Jonathan Mattingly – a professor of mathematics at Duke University – developed a formula based on the overwhelming likelihood of the No. 1 seeds defeating their No. 16-seed opening round opponents.
But even when these long-shots are factored in, along with other superior seeds facing underdogs, Mattingly calculated improved odds of 1 in 2.4 trillion. And if a Blue Devil’s digits aren’t up to snuff in your book, DePaul University mathematician Jay Bergen calculated the odds at one in 128 billion. But whomever you consider gospel when betting NCAA basketball, backing one side with a single bet through your favorite online sportsbook is the best way to beat the odds.