After winning the total medal count in the 2012 Summer Olympics in London, it’s no surprise to see the United States as the country to beat in 2016. The Rio Summer Olympics kick off in a little more than two weeks, and Team USA is expected to hit a similar number this time with their total listed at 103.5 at online sportsbook Bovada.
The under for the Americans is a slight -125 favorite (bet $125 to win $100) compared to the over at -105. Similarly, under 42.5 gold medals is favored at -130 compared to over at EVEN money. In 2012, Team USA won 46 gold medals, 28 silver and 29 bronze. China finished second in total medals and gold with 88 and 38, respectively.
Among the team events in which Team USA is a big favorite are men’s basketball, women’s basketball and women’s soccer. The men’s basketball team will not have global icons LeBron James and Kobe Bryant on the court, but they should have enough firepower to still win gold in the third straight Olympics.
The American men are big -1200 favorites to take home their 15th gold medal in the sport, but the women are even larger chalk at -1400, as they have won the past five tournaments along with seven of eight.
The USA women’s soccer team is also a solid +145 favorite (bet $100 to win $145) to win their fifth gold medal in six attempts. The only time the Americans did not win gold in women’s soccer came in 2000 when Norway upset them 3-2 in the title game.
On the men’s side, host Brazil is a -110 favorite to win gold while Argentina is the +500 second choice followed by Germany at +575 and reigning Euro champion Portugal at +950.
Track and field is one of the most popular individual and team sports in the Summer Olympics, with the gold medal up for grabs in several events despite some heavy favorites. Jamaican Usain Bolt is -170 to win the men’s 100-meter run and -225 to win the 200-meter, each for the third straight time in the Olympics. Bolt has won six gold medals in the Olympics previously, including one twice for the 4×100 men’s relay team.
In the 10,000- and 50,000-meters, Great Britain’s Mo Farah is an even bigger favorite than Bolt. Farah is -400 to win the shorter of the two runs and -335 to win the longer. He won each in London and does not figure to have much competition in either here again.
One sport the Americans have virtually no shot to win gold in is archery, which is owned by the South Koreans. Kim Woojin is +160 chalk to win the men’s individual event over teammates Lee Seungyun (+400) and Ku Bonchan (+550), and South Korea is -335 to win the team event as well.
Three South Koreans are also the top three favorites to win the women’s individual event, led by Choi Misun at +150, then Ki Bo Bae (+300) and Chang Hye Jin (+400). The South Korean women are -290 to win the team event too.