Futures Betting Preview for the 2019 NFL MVP Award
National Football League (NFL) training camps assembled across the country this week, and while rookies will spend the next month fighting for a roster spot, the game’s elite players will be preparing their bodies for the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award push. Let’s therefore take a closer look at the 2019 NFL MVP odds being offered at the sportsbooks.
Based on recent MVP history – not to mention the opening 2019 NFL MVP odds posted by online sportsbook Bovada – top-tier quarterbacks have the inside track.
Since running backs Shaun Alexander and LaDainian Tomlinson took home the trophy in 2005 and 2006, respectively, signal-callers have won 11 of the last 12 MVPs – including the last six in a row. Aside from the leaguewide shift towards pass-happy offenses over the last two decades, a big part of that quarterback dominance stems from Tom Brady and Peyton Manning winning three MVPs each over the last 12 years.
Manning retired in 2016, and while Brady is still going strong – the Patriots legend won his third MVP in 2017 at the age of 40 – a new generation of superior passers is set to take the torch.
Young QBs Battling Vets for MVP Honors
Of the 41 players listed on Bovada’s 2019 NFL MVP odds board, the 16 hopefuls offering the best odds are all quarterbacks.
The list is topped by last year’s winner Pat Mahomes (+550), and after the Kansas City Chiefs’ electric sensation parlayed his first year as the starter into an astounding 5,097 yards passing (2nd in NFL), 50 touchdown tosses (1st), and an 81.8 QBR (1st), it’s easy to see why. The youngest player to win the MVP since Dolphins Hall of Famer Dan Marino (1984), Mahomes revolutionized the quarterback position seemingly overnight.
The Chiefs will be bringing back largely the same offensive crew that lit up scoreboards to the tune of 565 points in the regular season, or 38 more than any other team in football. Mahomes already boasted league-leading arm strength and uncanny accuracy, so with an offseason spent losing his “baby fat” and adding muscle now in the books, opposing defenses have an older, wiser, and stronger phenom to cope with in 2019.
Speaking of phenoms, Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield is coming off an impressive abbreviated campaign which saw him resurrect a moribund franchise, while backing up his 2017 Heisman Trophy award by winning Rookie of the Year (ROY).
The last player to capture Heisman, ROY, and MVP crowns was Cam Newton, and oddsmakers have Mayfield at (+1100) to join the exclusive club after Cleveland’s front office went all-in to build a winner around him.
At those odds, only Mahomes, Andrew Luck (+600) and Aaron Rodgers (+1000) are better, while Mayfield is rated slightly higher than veterans Drew Brees (+1200), Brady (+1600), and Philip Rivers (+2000).
Rounding Out the Non-QB Contenders
The highest non-quarterback on the betting board doesn’t even play offense, as L.A. Rams sack-master general and two-time defending NFL Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald (+4500) looks to add an MVP to his mantle.
Donald led the league with 20.5 sacks while suffocating opposing offenses with 40.5 tackles and four forced fumbles. And with his Rams still smarting from a 13-3 loss to the Patriots in Super Bowl 53, Donald will no doubt be motivated to help bring a loaded L.A. squad to the promised land.
The first running back up for grabs is Alvin Kamara (+4500) of the New Orleans Saints, followed by Christian McCaffrey of the Carolina Panthers, Ezekiel Elliott of the Dallas Cowboys, and Le’Veon Bell of the New York Jets at (+5000).
And for folks who think a wide receiver will win MVP for the first time since Jerry Rice in 1987, Odell Beckham Jr (Cleveland Browns), Michael Thomas (New Orleans Saints), and Julio Jones (Atlanta Falcons) are the best bets.
To find out how Bovada sizes up all 41 candidates’ 2019 NFL MVP odds, check out the table below:
2019 NFL MVP Odds List
|Player (Position / Team)||Odds to Win 2019 NFL MVP Award (as of 7/25/19)|
|Patrick Mahomes (QB / Chiefs)||+550|
|Andrew Luck (QB / Colts)||+600|
|Aaron Rodgers (QB / Packers)||+1000|
|Baker Mayfield (QB / Browns)||+1100|
|Drew Brees (QB / Saints)||+1200|
|Carson Wentz (QB / Eagles)||+1200|
|Tom Brady (QB / Patriots)||+1600|
|Philip Rivers (QB / Chargers)||+2000|
|Mitchell Trubisky (QB / Bears)||+2000|
|Deshaun Watson (QB / Texans)||+2000|
|Russell Wilson (QB / Seahawks)||+2500|
|Ben Roethlisberger (QB / Steelers)||+3000|
|Matt Ryan (QB / Falcons)||+3000|
|Jimmy Garoppolo (QB / 49ers)||+3300|
|Jared Goff (QB / Rams)||+4000|
|Cam Newton (QB / Panthers)||+4000|
|Aaron Donald (DT / Rams)||+4500|
|Alvin Kamara (RB / Saints)||+4500|
|Dak Prescott (QB / Cowboys)||+5000|
|Christian McCaffrey (RB / Panthers)||+5000|
|Ezekiel Elliott (RB / Cowboys)||+5000|
|Lamar Jackson (QB / Ravens)||+5000|
|Le’Veon Bell (RB / Jets)||+5000|
|Khalil Mack (OLB / Bears)||+5000|
|Saquon Barkley (RB / Giants)||+5000|
|Todd Gurley (RB / Rams)||+5000|
|Kyler Murray (QB / Cardinals)||+6600|
|Nick Foles (QB / Jaguars)||+6600|
|David Johnson (RB / Cardinals)||+6600|
|Josh Allen (QB / Bills)||+7000|
|Sam Darnold (QB / Jets)||+7500|
|Odell Beckham Jr. (WR / Browns)||+8000|
|Michael Thomas (WR / Saints)||+8000|
|Kirk Cousins (QB / Vikings)||+8000|
|Julio Jones (WR / Falcons)||+8000|
|Joey Bosa (DE / Chargers)||+8000|
|J.J. Watt (DE / Texans)||+10000|
|Jameis Winston (QB / Buccaneers)||+10000|
|Antonio Brown (WR / Raiders)||+10000|
|Juju Smith-Schuster (WR / Steelers)||+10000|
|Matthew Stafford (QB / Lions)||+10000|
|Tyreek Hill (WR / Chiefs)||+10000|
|Leonard Fournette (RB / Jaguars)||+15000|