Best Masters Bets For 2021

Who should you pick when you're going over your Masters odds this week? I give you three players to consider making a bet on, as well as five props to wager on as a part of your best Masters bets for 2021.

Best Bets

Now that you’re all set with your Masters odds, it’s time to start thinking about the best Masters bets that you should make. The tournament tees off on Thursday from Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, Georgia.

I laid out the favorites, contenders and longshots on our Masters odds page. Now, I will recommend the players I think you should wager on at Augusta, one for each category. The favorite is Dustin Johnson, who shot a Masters-record -20 here in November, which was played with no fans and the course played much different than it will at this time of year. However, history is against Johnson to repeat.  The only players to go back-to-back at Augusta are Jack Nicklaus (1965 and 1966), Nick Faldo (1989 and 1990) and Tiger Woods (2001 and 2002).

Best Masters Bets – Favorites Pick

Justin Thomas (+1200)

Justin Thomas watches his golf shot

Thomas is, for my money, the best tee-to-green player on the PGA Tour, even though he ranks fifth in Shots Gained: Tee to Green behind Bryson DeChambeau, Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa and Will Zalatoris (seriously). The Kentucky native has been shaky off the tee (101st in SG: Off The Tee), but he is third in SG: Approach, 16th in SG: Around The Green and 55th in SG: Putting. It’s the final round that is killing Thomas on the green, as he is 122nd in final-round putting.

Thomas won the PGA Championship in 2017, so he knows what it takes to win the big ones. He has also improved over his five visits to Augusta, coming in T39-T22-T17-T12-4. Thomas is also very good friends with Tiger Woods, who is missing out on the Masters due to a terrible car accident. Woods has won five Masters, including most recently in 2019, so you’d have to think that Thomas has picked Woods’ brain about how to get around Augusta. Woods always talks about how important it is to know where to miss at Augusta. Thomas has surely asked for some pointers. He also won at The Players Championship. If you’re going to take a favorite, Justin Thomas is your man. Jordan Spieth will be a popular golf betting pick because of a recent run punctuated by a win at the Valero Texas Open, but Thomas has been more dependable.

Best Masters Bets – Contenders Pick

Collin Morikawa (+2800)

Collin Morikawa watches his golf shot

Morikawa is two spots behind Thomas in the world golf rankings in fourth place. He is also a major champion, winning the PGA Championship in the first major to be played without fans. But all credit to Morikawa, TPC Harding Park in California is a very difficult place, so a win there still counts. As was mentioned, Morikawa is third in SG: Tee to Green, as he doesn’t drive the ball far, but he is ninth in driving accuracy. That leads him to the top of the charts in SG: Approach, and Augusta is known as a second-shot course. Being able to hit into greens from the fairway will always give you more chances at a great approach shot, and Morikawa’s irons are fantastic.

The only issue with Morikawa is his putting as he ranks 179th in SG: Putting. When he gets hot with the putter, Morikawa is as good as anyone in the world. However, you have to be consistent at Augusta to get all you can out of it. That being said, Morikawa shot a final-round 64 to win the PGA Championship, so he has it in him.

Best Masters Bets – Longshot Pick

Adam Scott (+6600)

Adam Scott signifies direction of golf shot

Scott won the Masters in 2013, and he has made it the cut there every year since 2010. He is also in a solid run of form as Scott has made the cut in 15 of 16 events since the beginning of 2020, including a win at the Genesis Invitational last year. On the flip side of that run, Scott has one top-10 finish, a T-10 at Torrey Pines earlier this year, and he recently finished T-13 at the Honda Classic.

For someone who was known for his beautiful swing, but also for shaky putting, Scott has reversed that as his career has evolved. He is 132nd in SG: Off The Tee, but a decent 56th in SG: Approach. He is 138th in SG: Around The Green, but 58th in SG: Putting. He also scores well over the first two rounds, but struggles on the weekend. But still, Scott knows Augusta and that’s the best weapon you can have there. He probably won’t win, but it’s a great value golf betting pick.

Best Masters Prop Bets

Patrick Cantlay 1st Round Leader (+2800)

Cantlay leads the PGA Tour in 1st-round scoring average, and he should be rested as he has been off since the Match Play, where he just missed out on the knockout rounds.

Xander Schauffele (+150) Top-10 finish

Schauffele also failed to make it out of the group stage at the Match Play, he missed the cut at The Players Championship and was T-39 at the WGC Workday. Prior to that, Schauffele finished in the top 10 nine times in 20 starts, and was just outside the top 10 in another six starts. He has finished T-2 and T-17 in his last two trips to Augusta.

No Holes In One (+135)

In 85 editions of the Masters, there have been 31 holes-in-one and 22 of those have come on the 16th hole. However, there were none in 2020 and players are returning to a different course, even if they had played it before.

Brian Harman Top Lefty (+225)

Harman went to the quarterfinals of the Match Play, but he railed off eight birdies in a row over fellow lefty (and two-time Masters champion) Bubba Watson in the round of 16. Harman has only played in the Masters twice, missing the cut in 2015 and finishing T-44 in 2018. He is also a Georgia native and went to the University of Georgia. If he can keep his nerves, Harman should be the best lefty at Augusta.

Johnson/Thomas/Spieth/DeChambeau/Rahm/McIlroy (+110) over field (-140)

The favorites (excluding Koepka because of his knee) or the field? In a field of 88 golfers, anything can happen. However, I’m going to ride with the favorites. Thomas and Spieth are playing excellent golf right now, while Johnson is the defending champion and deserves that respect. On his day, DeChambeau can make any course look foolish, if he can just dial it back a bit. Rahm could be riding an emotional wave after the birth of his son. Even McIlroy has a chance as no player’s game fits Augusta National better. The field is the sports betting pick here.

 

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