My best Masters bets for the 85th edition of golf’s best tournament were middling. Justin Thomas finished T-21, but wasted a great second-round 67. Collin Morrikawa was a bit better and finished T-18, which isn’t bad for his first time playing Augusta National the way it’s supposed to be, not the target practice of November 2020. Adam Scott finished last of those that made the cut, so that’s something. Let’s see if the RBC Heritage betting tips for this week work in my favor.
RBC Heritage Betting Tips – Favorites
Patrick Cantlay (+1600)
Cantlay will be well-rested and raring to go after missing the cut at Augusta National. As I wrote yesterday in my RBC Heritage odds and betting preview, Cantlay loves this place with a T3-T7-T3 run in the three years prior to not playing last year, when Harbour Town in South Carolina was playing much different.
Remember it was played in 2020 in June because of the COVID-19 pandemic, and it’s usually played at this time when it’s a little more firm and fast. Cantlay, ranked 10th in the world golf rankings, is a much better player than he showed at Augusta and he will prove that this weekend.
RBC Heritage Betting Tips – Contenders
Daniel Berger (+2200)
Berger also struggled at Augusta and missed the cut, so he’ll be rested. He finished T-3 here in 2020, but a respectable T-33 in his Harbour Town debut in 2019. Berger has also played himself into 16th in the world rankings, and this calendar has been pretty good to him. He has gone 10-T7-MC-1-T35-T9-T18-MC.
You can see that he won at Pebble Beach after his missed cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, so I have high hopes for him. Berger is 27th in Shots Gained: Off The Tee, 37th in SG: Approach and 16th in SG: Putting. If he puts it all together and has a decent scrambling week around the greens, Berger could make some noise.
RBC Heritage Betting Tips – Longshots
Matt Kuchar (+4000)
Kuchar is another player that missed the cut at Augusta, although he fought back admirably with a 70 on Friday after a tough 78 on Thursday. Again, as I wrote yesterday, the stats aren’t good for Kuchar. He is outside the top 100 in these Shots Gained categories: Off The Tee (172nd), Tee To Green (134th) and Total (129th). He is also 100th in Approach The Green and Putting, and 89th in Around The Green. So, it’s not great for “Kooch”. However, he finished third in the Match Play, and he was T-12 at the Valero Texas Open, so he is playing well outside of the missed cut at Augusta (and he’s in good company there with my other two picks, not to mention, world #1 Dustin Johnson, who is also in this field).
Also, Kuchar has made 16 trips to Harbour Town and has never missed the cut. It might be a jinx, but Kuchar is playing well, so I’m willing to ride him this week, even for a top-10 finish, which has odds of +500 at Bovada.