- Joe Biden Named Senator Kamala Harris Vice President Running Mate
- Could President Trump Replace Vice President Mike Pence?
- Biden Odds to Win 2020 Election Remain Steady
In the end, former vice-president Joe Biden played it safe when it came to selecting his vice presidential nominee. Despite former National Security Advisor Susan Rice’s late push to earn the nod, Biden choose California Senator Kamala Harris for the honor. An overwhelming favorite to earn the nomination for the better part of the past 3 months, Harris is more moderate than other potential VP candidates, but make no mistake, she’s still leaning left. Because of her liberal policies, President Donald Trump referred to Harris as his “number one draft pick” hope to be named Joe Biden’s running mate. However, if President Trump thinks Senator Harris has helped strengthened his campaign team, you get a better sense as to why his United States Football League (USFL) failed back in the 1980’s. As he continues to scout and evaluate political draft talent, the Biden-Harris Democratic ticket maintained a steady election odds lead over Trump-Pence. At -160 over at Bovada’s online sportsbook, Biden’s implied probability to win the 2020 election is 61.5 percent, while President Trump’s odds to win the election continue to marinate at +135, or 42.5 percent implied probability.
|Odds to win 2020 U.S. Election|
Shortly after Biden named Harris his running mate, the fine folks over at BetOnline cooked up some odds as to whether President Trump would counter Biden’s female VP pick with one of his own. Odds that the president would replace Mike Pence with former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley vastly favor Pence to remain in the White House.
|Odds Who Will Be On the Republican VP Ticket|
At -2000, there’s a 95.2 percent implied probability that V.P. Pence stays in office, but Haley’s 7-to-1 underdog odds does leave the door cracked open. Wonder why that is?
Pence: “We’re not gonna let Joe Biden and Kamala Harris cut America’s meat.” pic.twitter.com/h02saV3l64
— The Recount (@therecount) August 13, 2020
U.S. Election Poll Position
After four consecutive days in the negative single digits, President Trump saw his daily approval rating dip back into the negative double digits back-to-back days at the conservative-leaning Rasmussen Reports.
The same outlet also surveyed likely Democratic voters to get their thoughts on Biden’s choice of Kamala Harris for vice president. Its polling found 76 percent had a favorable impression of Harris, while 48 percent have a very favorable impression.
The crew over at FiveThirtyEight released their election forecast earlier this week and while national polling numbers haven’t moved much in recent weeks, Biden is favored to win 73 out of every 100 simulated elections based on the latest polling data from liberal, moderate and conservative leaning outlets.
Political Prop Bets
In case you missed the New York Times article earlier this week, it’s been reported that members of Trump’s administration reached out to South Dakota governor Kristi Noem about adding the 45th president to Mount Rushmore. President Trump referred to the report as fake news, but didn’t disagree with the concept tweeting,
“Never suggested it although, based on all of the many things accomplished during the first 3 1/2 years, perhaps more than any other Presidency, sounds like a good idea to me!,” Trump tweeted earlier this week.
We’ve put together an odds report on Trump’s chances of being added to the granite sculpture and those persons most likely to be added next.