Featured in this article:
  • The Jets are 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games
  • The Broncos are 1-5 straight up in their last six road games
  • New York's offensive roster is banged up and questionable for Thursday's game

The Broncos’ Jeff Driskel era got off to a clunky and uncomfortable start as the veteran back-up was sacked six times by the Buccaneers pass rush in Denver’s 28-10 home loss to Tampa Bay. The Broncos fell to 0-3 overall and 2-1 against the spread after failing to cover the +6.

This time last year, Sam Darnold was caught on a hot mic saying he was seeing ghosts out on the field. At this point, the Jets may want to consider signing the paranormal activities to a long-term contract because the product New York rolls out there every week is pretty scary. Darnold tossed three more interceptions and the Colts defense held the Jets to less than 4.0 yards per carry in Indy’s 36-7 Week 3 victory. Gang Green is 0-3 SU and ATS with few signs of competitive life.

Week 4: Denver Broncos vs NY Jets Game Info
Date: October 1, 2020, 8:20 p.m. ET
Stadium: MetLife Stadium
TV Coverage: NFL Network
Opening Odds: Jets -2.5 | O/U 41
How to Bet: Best Online Sportsbook Reviews

Line Movement

New York opened as 2.5-point home favorites before reality hit online sportsbooks and flipped the spread to Denver -2.5. The Jets moneyline was listed between +125 and +140. The point total opened at 41, but has since dipped back down to 40.0 at most sportsbooks we track. The total has gone UNDER in six of the Jets’ last nine games.

The Broncos are 1-5 in their last six road games, while the Jets are 2-6 against the spread over their last eight contests.

Denver Broncos News and Notes

denver broncos nfl driskel

Records aside, this was scheduled as a showdown between two of the NFL’s young guns. Drew Lock flashed glimpses of brilliance during the 2019 season, but a sprained shoulder has placed him on the shelf the next month. Back-up quarterbacks Jeff Driskel and rookie Brett Rypien evoked so much confidence, the Broncos went out and signed Blake Bortles in case of emergency. Rypien actually relieved Driskel in the Broncos loss to the Buccaneers and finished 8-9 for 53 yards with an interception. As of Monday morning, any of these three QB’s could start against the Jets Thursday night. However, if you’re tempted to bet on this matchup, don’t focus so much on Denver’s offensive prowess, but concentrate on the advantage the defense has over the Jets.

The Broncos have held opposing offenses to just 102.9 rush yards per game on 3.8 yards per attempt, among the top 10 best in the league.  While their secondary is suspect against the pass, Denver boasts the 11th-best third down defense as opposing offenses have converted just 38.64 percent on third. It’s not a perfect recipe for success, but with both teams 0-3 heading into Week 4, this wasn’t meant to be pretty. At the end of the day, the Broncos defense is going to make Sam Darnold beat them with his arm, which to-date he’s struggled to do with a below-average receiving corps that is currently on the mend.

New York Jets News and Notes

With the way things have gone for the Jets, the last thing I want to do is apply lipstick to this pig. So, instead of waxing poetic about how their season could miraculously turn around Thursday night, I’ll simply share the most relevant stats that bettors should embrace before wagering any money on this dogfest.

Through three games the Jets offense has:

  • Averaged 4.5 yards per play (ranked 30th)
  • Averaged 88.3 rush yards per game (ranked 28th)
  • Averaged 175 pass yards per game (ranked 32nd)
  • Committed 1.7 turnovers per game (ranked 27th, bad)
  • Converted 32.43% of their third downs (ranked 31st)
  • Averaged two trips to the red zone per game (t-32nd)

The only way I envision New York pulling off the home upset is if Denver gets careless with the football. A favorable bounce of the ball that hands Sam Darnold a short field could be the difference. However, if we’re strictly relying on the Jets to go out and win this game based on offensive talent alone, the proof has yet to arrive in the pudding the first three weeks.

On the injury front, receivers Jamison Crowder and Breshad Perriman, both missed Week 3’s contest as did right tackle George Fant. They’re all questionable for Thursday. Offensive tackle Mekhi Becton as well as linebacker Jordan Willis and safety Bradley McDougald were injured in the loss to the Colts. All questionable Thursday and in case you missed it, Le’Veon Bell was placed on injured reserve after Week 1. So, the Jets continue to lean on Frank Gore as their lead back.

Betting Pick: Broncos -2.5

We’re still not sure if Jeff Driskel will make another start or if Brett Rypien will earn the nod Thursday night. What we do know is that Sam Darnold and the entire Jets offense are gasping for air. While Denver’s defense isn’t as stout as it once was, it put some pressure on the Steelers two weeks ago and can definitely make Darnold uncomfortable for 60 minutes behind an inferior offensive line.

Check out our expert NFL betting guide if you want to learn more about How to Bet on Week 4 of the NFL or head right to our favorite online sportsbook review page and find the right site for you!

Ryan Fowler

Ryan has covered sports on every media platform over the past 17+ years. The first seven years of his professional career were spent as a sports anchor and reporter at various local television stations, while he picked up side gigs as a freelance sports columnist and recurring radio guest before he decided to jump to the web. As content manager of sports simulation website WhatIfSports.com and senior editor of FOXSports.com's fantasy baseball and football coverage for the better part of this decade, Ryan embraces advanced metrics, trends, and outside-the-box angles to find his edge. You can follow him on Twitter @FreelanceFowler.

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