- The Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
- Kansas City is 7-1 in their last eight road games.
- Sammy Watkins is likely headed to concussion protocol
Patrick Mahomes looked human Sunday, Harrison Butker did not. The Chiefs kicker booted a 58-yard game-winning field goal to complete Kansas City’s comeback victory in overtime over the Chargers, 23-20. Andy Reid’s crew improved to 2-0 straight up, but fell to 1-1 after failing to cover the -9 in Justin Herbert’s debut at quarterback. As for Baltimore, the Ravens bulldozed an overmatched Texans squad, 33-16, improved to 2-0 SU and covered as a 7.5-point road dog at Houston.
|Week 3: Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens Game Info|
|Date: September 21, 2020, 8:15 p.m. ET|
|Stadium: M&T Bank Stadium|
|TV Coverage: ESPN|
|Opening Odds: Ravens -2 | O/U 52.5|
|How to Bet: Best Online Sportsbook Reviews|
Baltimore opened as 2-point home favorites before a tick up to Ravens -3 as of Monday afternoon. The Chiefs moneyline was listed at +155-or-better. The point total opened at 52.5, but has since dipped back down to 52.0 at most online sportsbook we track. The total has gone UNDER in four of Baltimore last five games.
The failed cover against the Chargers was the Chiefs first ATS loss in their last 11 games (10-1). The Ravens are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight Monday Night Football contests.
When these two teams met last September at Kansas City, the Chiefs won and covered as 4.5-point home favorites, 33-28, and the OVER 52.5 cashed.
Kansas City Chiefs News and Notes
The Chiefs defense planned on facing Tyrod Taylor, but a health scare sent the veteran quarterback to the hospital following pre-game warm up and the Chargers were forced to start true rookie Justin Herbert. All he did was engineer an eight-play, 79-yard touchdown drive before four minutes came off the clock at the spankin’ new SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles.
Kansas City’s defense allowed a rookie-led offense to finish with more passing yards, rushing yards, yards per play, and dominate time of possession 39-29. It wasn’t their finest hour and nearly cost them an early-season divisional win.
To be fair, Patrick Mahomes wasn’t crisp either as he finished 27-47 for 302 yards and a 90.9 QB rating. Fellow rookie running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire was held in check a week after carving up the Texans rush defense. CEH finished with just 38 rush yards on 10 carries.
However, good teams find ways to win ugly and this would be the definition of an ugly win. Harrison Butker actually booted two 58-yard field goals, once in regulation and then the game-winner. And, if we’re getting technical, which I obviously do, he hit a third that didn’t count due to a timeout being called. He was Mr. Clutch when the Chiefs offense fell short on Sunday.
On the injury front, star wide receiver Sammy Watkins will likely be in concussion protocol this week after taking this head-to-head shot Sunday afternoon.
— Sully Engels (@SullyKSNT) September 20, 2020
Defensive end Alex Okafor is also questionable with a hamstring injury.
Baltimore Ravens News and Notes
The Ravens road win at Houston might be a case of the Texans are in trouble moreso than the Ravens are world beaters. It’s truly hard to tell since the Ravens crushed an overmatched Browns team Week 1. We know Lamar Jackson and company were a favorite to not only win the AFC, but also this year’s Super Bowl, but how much can we glean in wins over the the Browns and DeAndre Hopkins-less Texans offense. It’s tough, but here are the numbers from their road win and cover.
A four-headed backfield of Gus Edwards, Mark Ingram, Jackson, and rookie J.K. Dobbins racked up 230 rush yards and averaged 6.2 yards per carry against the Texans. Houston has now allowed 198 rush yards per game through the first two weeks. Kansas City’s rush defense has allowed 150.5 rush yards per game through two weeks – ADVANTAGE RAVENS. The Chiefs pass defense hasn’t been great either, ranked 25th, after allowing 269 yards per game in wins over the Texans and Chargers.
The “too long, didn’t read” version is we all know the Chiefs offense is going to find ways to score (in a hurry) and will likely flirt with a 28 points per game average by season’s end. However, the Ravens defense is head and shoulders above the Chiefs and – if we’re being honest – their offenses are similar up-tempo styles. The Chiefs just elect to win it by air more often than the Ravens. Plus, don’t discount the fact that the Chiefs had to play on the West Coast, fly home and then get back on the road to the East Coast this weekend. If you’re a frequent flier, you know how much of a drag that can be in non-pandemic conditions. Remember, neither of these teams enjoyed preseason games. This hectic cross-country travel does play a factor.
Rookie Tavon Young will miss the rest of the season due to a torn ACL suffered in the win over the Texans. Good news for Baltimore is that they are loaded in the secondary and can juts reload.
Betting Pick: Ravens -3
This two-week stretch of the schedule is not kind to the Chiefs. Perhaps their sluggish effort at Los Angeles was due to them looking ahead to this game against the Ravens. While one would expect another high-scoring affair, something in my gut tells me the total of 52 (pending future line movement) is a trap to hammer the OVER. So, I’m going to fade the total and take Baltimore -3. Even with the loss of Young, the Ravens defense is scary good right now and can play the pass, while forcing Andy Reid to beat them with their rookie running back Monday night.