The Minnesota Golden Gophers and the Baylor Bears both picked up their first losses of the season last Saturday, hurting their College Football Playoff chances. And in even bigger news, Tua Tagovailoa dislocated his hip and will miss the remainder of the Alabama Crimson Tide’s season. If the Crimson Tide finish the regular season 11-1 with a road win over Auburn, could they still potentially make the postseason, even without Tagovailoa? Time will tell.
For this week, though, here’s a look at the top matchups on the college football betting slate.
No. 9 Penn State Nittany Lions at No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (-18)
No team in college football has been more consistently dominant than the Ohio State Buckeyes. The Buckeyes rank No. 1 in the nation in both points for with 51.5 per game and points against with 9.8 allowed per game, going 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS with a staggering 41.7-point average margin of victory. Ohio State is also 18-0 SU in its last 18 games at home and 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS in its last 12 home games against the Penn State Nittany Lions.
Penn State is 9-1 SU and 5-5 ATS this season. The Nittany Lions were 3-0 SU and ATS on the road in 2019 before losing 31-26 to Minnesota as a 6.5-point road favorite. Will Penn State be able to do anything to slow down this Ohio State juggernaut?
No. 19 Texas Longhorns at No. 13 Baylor Bears (-5.5)
The Baylor Bears coughed up a 28-3 lead in a 34-31 loss at home to the Oklahoma Sooners last Saturday night, all but ending their hopes of being a surprise team in the College Football Playoff this season. The Bears are still 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS on the season though, and to keep their strong campaign going they will need to brush themselves off and be ready for a tough test this Saturday in the Longhorns.
Texas is a bit better than its 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS record would indicate. The Longhorns have been hit hard by injuries this season and have only lost games they were supposed to lose, at home against LSU and Oklahoma and on the road against TCU and Iowa State. Texas is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games against teams with winning records and 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 road games against Baylor.
Pac-12’s one-loss teams face last road tests of 2019
The No. 6 Oregon Ducks are 9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS over their last nine games. They are on the road this Saturday as 14.5-point favorites against the Arizona State Sun Devils. The No. 7 Utah Utes are 6-0 SU and ATS over their last six games, and they are 22.5-point road favorites against the Arizona Wildcats.
These two top-ten teams are heading for a collision course in the Pac-12 Championship Game. With soft home games lined up for next week, these two remaining road tests will likely determine just how high the stakes are in the Pac-12 Championship Game with a potential College Football Playoff spot on the line.