Our college football Week 10 odds features a big showdown in the SEC and two key match-ups in the Pac-12. Th e Big 12 no longer appears to be a factor in the playoff picture as the OU Sooners lost their unbeaten status in shocking fashion.
One week after the No. 6 Wisconsin Badgers fell as 29-point road favorites against the Illinois Fighting Illini, the No. 5 Oklahoma Sooners followed suit with a stunning road loss to the Kansas State Wildcats. Jalen Hurts did his part with 395 passing yards, 96 rushing yards and four total TDs, but the Sooners defense had no answer for a Kansas State rushing attack that racked up 213 yards and six touchdowns in a 48-41 win. The Wildcats were 23.5-point underdogs.
Oklahoma’s loss opened the door wide open for the No. 7 Oregon Ducks and the No. 9 Utah Utes to potentially make the College Football Playoff as a one-loss conference champion. Oregon’s neutral-site loss to Auburn in Week 1 and Utah’s road loss to USC are likely to be more forgivable than Oklahoma’s misstep; and if both teams can advance to the Pac-12 title game with one loss, they’ll each have a shot at a statement win in that contest.
But for this scenario to play out and for the Pac-12 to potentially end its two-season playoff drought, Oregon and Utah have to pass some tough road tests this Saturday.
No. 7 Oregon Ducks (-5) vs. USC Trojans
The USC Trojans are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS through their first four home games of the 2019 season and are 23-3 SU in their last 26 home games overall. Oregon (-5) has looked vulnerable in its last two games, trailing in the fourth quarter of both before eventually defeating Washington 35-31 and Washington State 37-35. This will be a tough game against a USC team that is 17-2 SU in its last 19 home games against teams with winning records.
No. 9 Utah Utes (-3.5) vs. Washington Huskies
Since losing that USC game 30-23 on the road, the Utes (-3.5) are a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS, winning those four games by an average margin of 30.8 points per game. Utah will try to ride the momentum of this hot streak into this matchup against the Huskies, who are 4-0 SU in their last four games against the Utes and 2-0 ATS in their last two. Washington is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games overall.
No. 8 Georgia Bulldogs (-6) vs. No. 6 Florida Gators
For the second straight season, ‘The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party’ in Jacksonville will feature both Georgia and Florida ranked in the Top 10. No. 8 Georgia is 6-1 SU and 3-4 ATS on the season while No. 6 Florida is 7-1 SU and 4-2-2 ATS. The Georgia Bulldogs (-6) are the favorites in this contest, despite the Florida Gators being the higher-rated team.
The last 10 games between these two teams are split right down the middle at 5-5 SU, with Florida holding an extremely narrow ATS edge at 5-4-1 ATS over those 10 games. The Gators enter this game with an 11-1 SU and 7-3-2 ATS record over their last 12 games and the Bulldogs come into this one with a 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS record in their last six games played in the month of November. The winner of this rivalry game will keep its playoff hopes alive by taking firm control of first place in the SEC East.