Featured in this article:
  • The Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
  • Baltimore is 13-5-1 ATS over their last 19 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Pats last five games.

On a day where the offense wasn’t as sharp, Baltimore defense stepped up once again. The Ravens 24-10 road win over the Colts improved their record to 6-2 straight up, 4-3-1 against the spread and 4-0 in road games. Lamar Jackson and company also set the NFL record for most consecutive games with 20-or-more points scored with 31.

The Patriots are not good. It’s weird to type that, but after their pedestrian effort against the woeful Jets Monday night, it’s time to face facts. New England needed a 13-point fourth quarter to comeback and beat New York to improve to 3-5 overall, but dropped them to 3-5 against the spread after failing to cover -9.5 on the road.

Week 10: Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots Game Info
Date: November 15, 2020, 8:20 p.m. ET
Stadium: Gillette Stadium
TV Coverage: NBC
Opening Odds: Baltimore -6.5 | O/U 40.6
How to Bet: Best Online Sportsbook Reviews

Line Movement

Baltimore opened 6.5-point road favorites, but after New England tough-earned win at New York, the Ravens are now 7-point road favorites. The Patriots moneyline opened at +252. The point total opened at 40.5 but ticked up to 41.5. The UNDER has hit in three of four Patriots home games this season.

The last time New England was a home underdog of 6.5-or-more points was 2001 when they hosted the Rams’ “Greatest Show on Turf.”

Ravens News and Notes

Odds are Lamar Jackson won’t repeat as MVP this season. His pass and rush yards per game, yards per rush, and completion percentage are all down year-over-year. He’s thrown four interceptions through eight games after tossing just six last year. Injuries have played a role, but it just doesn’t seem like the Ravens offense have found a stride like they did during the 2019 campaign. It won’t get any easier either as they have to face the Titans and Steelers in Pittsburgh the next two weeks.

Baltimore’s gutty road win over the Colts came less a week after losing star offensive tackle Ronnie Staley for the season (ankle) and elite defensive back Marlon Humphrey for at least 10-days due to COVID-19. On top of that, their lead running back Mark Ingram has missed the past two games due to an ankle injury. His back-ups, Gus Edwards and rookie J.K. Dobbins, have performed well, but both trail Jackson for the team lead in rushing yards and yards per rush.

While Dez Bryant will hopefully add some zest to an offense seeking an identity, he’s unlikely to become the game-changer he was while with the Cowboys. So, in what many believe should be a slam dunk moneyline win at New England, all eyes turn towards the defense to make plays and keep Newton contained.

Patriots News and Notes

It’s hard to believe these stats are attached to Bill Belichick’s Patriots (before Jets game):

  • Points Per Game: 19.4 (29th in NFL)
  • Yards Per Play: 5.6 (19th)
  • 3rd Down Conversion Rate: 40.26% (23rd)
  • Red Zone TD Conversion Rate: 52.17% (28th)
  • Yards Allowed Per Play: 6.1 (25th)

Through the first eight games, the Jets offense averaged well below 5.0 yards per play. Joe Flacco torched them for 7.3 yards per pop, third-best offensive effort in Week 9. To their credit, the Patriots defense stepped up late in the fourth, when they picked off Flacco, which resulted in an 11-play touchdown drive and followed that up by forcing a three-and-out. So, while the late-game heroics are nice, they kind of blur the true identity of a reeling franchise that dominated for much of the past two decades.

With Julian Edelman on the mend, Cam Newton has found a new favorite target in Jakobi Meyers. He caught 12-of-14 passes for 169 yards – on his birthday no less. However, with Baltimore’s depth in the secondary – with or without Humphrey – if Meyers is blanketed, who is the guy to step up. That’s a big hurdle that New England has yet to answer.

Betting Pick: Ravens -6.5 (opening)

In the past, when New England’s offense was stuck in the mud, their defense would bail ’em out with the bend-don’t-break mentality. However, the 2020 Patriots D has allowed 35 points to the Seahawks, 26 points to the Chiefs, 33 to the Niners, and 24 to the Bills. Good teams are finding the end zone and not settling for field goals.

Check out our expert NFL betting guide if you want to learn more about How to Bet on Week 10 of the NFL or head right to our favorite online sportsbook review page and find the right site for you!

Ryan Fowler

Ryan has covered sports on every media platform over the past 17+ years. The first seven years of his professional career were spent as a sports anchor and reporter at various local television stations, while he picked up side gigs as a freelance sports columnist and recurring radio guest before he decided to jump to the web. As content manager of sports simulation website WhatIfSports.com and senior editor of FOXSports.com's fantasy baseball and football coverage for the better part of this decade, Ryan embraces advanced metrics, trends, and outside-the-box angles to find his edge. You can follow him on Twitter @FreelanceFowler.

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