- Biden's odds lead well ahead of President Trump
- The second presidential debate will be held Thursday night in Nashville
- National polling favors Biden, but Trump closing gap at some media outlets
According to the U.S. Election Project, nearly 40 million Americans have voted early. To put that in perspective, those 40-million-or-so votes account for 28.8% of the TOTAL votes counted in the entire 2016 presidential election. If we wanted to read into those proverbial tea leaves, a rush to vote early has historically not favored the incumbent. A rush to vote early indicate an eagerness for change and/or to avoid the chaos and long lines that await on election day, November 3. So, it should come as no surprise that Joe Biden’s and President Donald Trump’s odds to win the 2020 election remain relatively unchanged over the past few days. At Bovada, Biden’s odds are -165, or an implied probability of 62.26%, while President Trump’s odds are +125.
|2020 U.S. Election Betting Odds||Online Sportsbook (10/21/20)||Online Sportsbook (10/14/20)|
|Donald Trump||+125 (Last week +170)||N/A (Last week +180)|
|Joe Biden||-165 (Last week -200)||N/A (Last week -226)|
2020 U.S. Election Odds: Second Presidential Debate Props
The first presidential debate was chaos. The second debate was cancelled. The third debate, to be held tomorrow night, October 22, at 9 p.m. ET, will feature a mute button. It will also be hosted by Belmont University in Nashville, Tennessee with NBC News’ Kristen Welker acting as moderator. Studies have shown, she’ll have her hands full keeping President Trump and Joe Biden on topic and focused.
Our good friends at Bovada have cooked up some entertaining presidential debate prop bet odds for tomorrow night’s festivities. Some of the more amusing props on the board are:
- What will Trump and Biden say first?
- Will the first or second presidential debate have better ratings?
- Whose microphone will be muted first?
- Will either candidate mention Twitter during the debate?
All the latest prop bet odds can be found at Bovada.
2020 U.S. Election Odds: Poll Positions
Two weeks ago, Biden had a 12-point lead in Rasmussen Report’s White House Watch weekly poll. As of October 21, President Trump has trimmed his challenger’s lead to just 3 points, 49-46. The conservative-leading polling outlet also released Trump’s daily approval index rating, which was up to negative-5 (-5), which is the highest its been since September 25.
Biden’s national polling lead remains double digits at FiveThirtyEight.
One area that will be of great interest to those wagering on the 2020 presidential race are the results of battleground states. For those unfamiliar, battleground states are those that a) offer a large number of electoral votes 2) are typically 50/50 split between Democratic and Republican voters. While Biden holds a lead in CNBC/Change Research’s poll of the top six swing states, the +/- margin of error keeps Trump’s changes well within range.
- Arizona: Biden leads 51-45
- Florida: Biden leads 50-45
- Michigan: Biden leads 51-44
- North Carolina: Biden leads 50-47
- Pennsylvania: Biden leads 49-47
- Wisconsin: Biden leads 52-45
In the lead up to November 3, Gamble Online will publish weekly 2020 U.S. election betting coverage with the latest polling news and updated betting odds. If you’re interested in learning more about how to bet on the 2020 United States election or are interested in learning more about the online sportsbooks that offer political odds and unique prop bets, be sure to check out our new expert 2020 election guide.