- Joe Biden is the favorite to win the 2020 U.S. election at major online sportsbooks
- Amy Coney Barrett is the favorite to earn Trump's Supreme Court nomination
- New York Times election projections suggest inaccurate polling leads to tight race
The passing of United States Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg is yet another sobering moment in what has become a mentally draining political season fully equipped with a pandemic chaser. Within hours of RBG’s death, the Supreme Court opening was batted around like a beach ball and will remain a hotly contested process the next five weeks in the lead-up to election day. President Donald Trump said he will announce his Supreme Court nomination this weekend, while online sportsbooks not only posted updated odds to win the 2020 U.S. election, but also the favorites to earn President Trump’s justice nomination. Since our odds update last Wednesday, former vice-president Joe Biden has again distanced himself from the incumbent, albeit slightly. The Democratic challenger’s odds to win are -130 at both online sportsbooks Bovada and BetOnline, while President Trump is +110 at both outlets.
|2020 U.S. Election Betting Odds||Online Sportsbook (9/23/20)||Online Sportsbook (9/23/20)|
Amy Coney Barrett, the heavy favorite to earn President Trump’s Supreme Court nomination, currently serves as a circuit judge on the Seventh Court of Appeals. She was added to that bench by President Trump back in 2017. She worked under the late Justice Antonin Scalia, who has been referenced as a mentor and influence on her ruling style. The other front-runner to earn the nomination is Barbara Lagoa, who serves as a circuit judge on the Eleventh Court of Appeals. A Cuban-American, she was the first Hispanic woman to be appointed as a Florida Supreme Court Justice just last year.
Former Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz is a longshot to earn the nomination, as is Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton.
|Odds to be Supreme Court Nominee||BetOnline|
|Amy Coney Barrett||-400|
2020 U.S. Election Odds: Main Headlines
First Presidential Debate is September 29
All the passive aggressive banter via social media and on the campaign trail comes to a head next Tuesday when President Trump and Joe Biden take the debate stage for the first time. FOX News anchor Chris Wallace will act as moderator, while Cleveland’s Case Western Reserve / Cleveland Clinic campus will serve as host after Notre Dame backed out due to coronavirus concerns.
It was announced earlier this week that the debate will focus on these topics: the Supreme Court, coronavirus pandemic, economy, civil unrest and race relations, and the integrity of the election. That last topic should stir up quite the controversy as Russian influence continues to hover over the 2020 election.
C.I.A.: Putin Directing Election Interference
According to a recent C.I.A. assessment, Russian president Vladimir Putin is still most likely directing U.S. election interference four years after the government agency found the same to be true of the 2016 election.
McCain Endorses Joe Biden
John McCain’s wife, Cindy, publicly endorsed Joe Biden for president this week. President Trump was no fan of the late Senator McCain as he voiced his displeasure via social media quite often prior to becoming president and after McCain’s vote shot down Trump’s chance to repeal the Affordable Care Act, otherwise known as Obamacare. It’s the ugly side of politics where even two members of the right side of the aisle attack each other. Some would argue that McCain was a RINO, Republican in Name Only, towards the end of his life, but one shouldn’t take Cindy McCain’s endorsement lightly as it will likely resonate with military families and some moderate Republicans.
2020 U.S. Election Odds: Poll Positions
For the first time since late-February, President Trump’s approval rating reached positive territory (+4) on the conservative-leaning Rasmussen Report’s daily tracker. However, it did dip back down into negative territory in the days that followed September 18th’s seven-month high.
The media outlets latest White House Watch polling, released every Wednesday, has Biden snatching a small lead back from President Trump. The national telephone and online survey of 3,000 likely voters found Biden leading 48-47.
Over at The New York Times, their election projections model highlighted a scenario where “if state polling numbers are as wrong as they were in 2016” what the elector vote tallies would look like. The outcome was frighteningly close with Trump earning 278 electoral votes to Biden’s 260. This is a nightmare scenario where mail-in votes will become a headline and conspiracy theories will run rampant.
FiveThirtyEight’s election models still have Biden winning the 2020 election.
In the lead up to November 3, Gamble Online will publish weekly 2020 U.S. election betting coverage with the latest polling news and updated betting odds. If you’re interested in learning more about how to bet on the 2020 United States election or are interested in learning more about the online sportsbooks that offer political odds and unique prop bets, be sure to check out our new expert 2020 election guide.