- The Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last six games at Seattle.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games.
- Minnesota's Justin Jefferson replacing Stefon Diggs seamlessly
In a battle of winless teams, Minnesota appears ahead of Houston. I think that’s a compliment, but not sure? Dalvin Cook racked up 130 rush yards and two scores, while the Vikings finished with a turnover clean sheet in their 31-23 victory at the Texans. Minnesota improves to 1-3 and 2-2 against the spread after covering +3.5 with the outright win.
It’s never easy to win at Miami. Just ask Tom Brady, but even tougher for a West Coast squad. Despite the logistical and social setting challenges, Russell Wilson padded his MVP resume with 360 more passing yards and two touchdowns in Seattle’s 31-23 victory over the Dolphins. The Seahawks are now 4-0 straight up and 4-0 against the spread this season.
|Week 5: Minnesota Vikings vs Seattle Seahawks Game Info|
|Date: October 11, 2020, 8:20 p.m. ET|
|Stadium: CenturyLink Field|
|TV Coverage: NBC|
|Opening Odds: Seahawks -9 | O/U 58|
|How to Bet: Best Online Sportsbook Reviews|
Seattle opened as 9-point home favorites, but Minnesota’s performance at Houston must have impressed bettors as the line has been trimmed to Seahawks -7 as of Monday morning. The Vikings moneyline opened at +330. The point total opened at a monster 58 and remains steady. The total has gone OVER in four of Seattle’s last five games.
The total has also gone OVER in six of Minnesota’s last nine road games and OVER in seven of Seattle’s last eight games when hosting the Vikings.
Minnesota Vikings News and Notes
Based on their first four games, it’s easy to forget that the Vikings actually made the playoffs last season.
Minnesota’s 2020 edition is quite the enigma. It’s not typical for an offense averaging 6.4 yards per play, to be 1-3 on the season. Digging into the Vikings team metrics you kind of get a sense of how the first month played out as it did.
- They ranked fifth in rushing at 150.5 yards per game, but
- Rank 28th in passing at 207.2 yards per game
- Plus, they’ve only converted 37.8 percent of their third downs (r-25th) and average 3.2 red zone trips per game, which ranks in the bottom 10
- Their pass and rush defense, once their bread and butter, both rank outside the top 23, but…
- Like the Patriots of years’ past, the Vikes are bending, but not breaking as they boast the second-best defense on third downs and second-best red zone defense where opposing offenses are converting just 41.1 percent of their trips into touchdowns.
Based on what we’ve seen, this matchup against the Seahawks has all the makings of what we saw play out between the Packers and Vikes Week 1, when Green Bay won 43-34.
Kirk Cousins and rookie receiver Justin Jefferson are clicking. Over the past two games, the duo has combined for 11 receptions on 14 targets for 278 yards and a touchdown. Seattle’s secondary is riddled with injuries and this should continue for another week.
Seattle Seahawks News and Notes
Wanna hear a wild stat? Seattle has converted 86.67 percent of their red zone trips into touchdowns.
There are dozens of superlatives to describe what Russell Wilson and the Seahawks have accomplished through four games, but before betting anything on this upcoming matchup, know their defensive secondary remains a mess. Hence, why Ryan Fitzpatrick and Dolphins (+6.5) kept things interesting late into the fourth quarter last Sunday.
Safety Jamal Adams, safety Lano Hall, cornerback Quinton Dunbar, and cornerback Neiko Thorpe are all day-to-day with various ailments that have kept them out previous games. This is why if you’re not comfortable laying the 7 points to ride with the Seahawks, the OVER is in play. Kirk Cousins and Jefferson along with Adam Thielen will test (and likely shred) this depleted secondary.
Betting Pick: Seahawks -7
I may live to regret the confidence in which I share this pick, but Kirk Cousins struggles in primetime are well documented. Though they picked up the win, Minnesota let Deshaun Watson cook. Now, it’s Russell Wilson’s turn to wear the apron. Look out OVER.