Before we take a look at the NFL Week 12 odds, let’s revisit Week 11. Football fans had 13 contests on the docket last week, but when it was all said and done, only one laid claim to the title of “Greatest Regular Season Game Ever Played.”
The Los Angeles Rams (10-1) outlasted the Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) in a spectacular 54-51 shootout that set several records for offensive production.
The over/under of 63 – only the highest NFL total ever posted – was eclipsed by the third quarter. At 105 total points, Rams/Chiefs became the third-highest scoring NFL game in league history. And the Chiefs became the first team ever to score 50 points in a losing effort, breaking a 216-0 streak in the process.
All things considered, Monday Night Football’s scoring explosion was the perfect signature game for 2018 – a year defined by defense-optional football and devilishly creative offensive schemes.
On that note, bettors looking ahead to the NFL Week 12 odds slate have a few potentially high-scoring affairs to watch for, at least according to the opening lines posted by online sportsbook Bovada.
The New Orleans Saints (9-1) would’ve felt right at home in a game like Monday’s historic double 50-burger.
Over their last three games, the offensive mind meld shared by head coach Sean Payton and quarterback legend Drew Brees has sparked an average point total of 48 per game. That includes a 48-7 shellacking of the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles (4-6) last Sunday at the Superdome, a result which easily covered the Saints (-9.5) spread.
Overall, New Orleans is averaging 37.8 points per game to top the NFL, and they should keep that pace up on Thanksgiving evening when the Atlanta Falcons (4-6) arrive in the Big Easy.
Less than two weeks ago the Falcons were surging, winners of three straight with the woeful Cleveland Browns (3-6-1) on tap. But the Browns put a whooping on Atlanta, as did the Dallas Cowboys (5-5) last Sunday, putting the Falcons’ season on the brink of burial entering Thanksgiving.
With these ostensible rivals heading in different directions, and New Orleans in need of a win to keep pace with the Rams atop the NFC, the Saints are laying the heavy (-13.5) wood as home favorites. As far as the total is concerned, the (60.5) points expected to be put up on Thursday night puts this game less than a field goal away from that Rams/Chiefs showstopper.
This week’s edition of Sunday Night Football won’t come close to hitting the century mark, but the Minnesota Vikings (5-4-1) and Green Bay Packers (4-5-1) combine to create one of the highest totals of the week at (48).
Both teams are smarting from agonizing Week 11 defeats, and both trail the Chicago Bears (7-3) in the NFC North standings, so intensity should be high from kickoff until the clock hits 0:00. For all intents and purposes, this one’s an early playoff game for these bitter rivals, which doesn’t bode well for Aaron Rodgers and the Pack.
Green Bay is winless (0-5) on the road this season, while Minnesota has performed up to par at home (3-2) – a major reason why the Vikes hold the edge as slim (-3) favorites on the NFL Week 12 odds.
The Indianapolis Colts (5-5) and Miami Dolphins (5-5) might share identical records – and thus identical playoff position in the crowded AFC Wild Card race – but these teams are in different states of mind.
The Dolphins have stumbled since starting 3-0, with starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill suffering through yet another serious injury. This time it’s his throwing shoulder, and while the veteran will be back under center against Indy, it’s anybody’s guess what the Miami offense will get from its wounded leader.
The Colts know all about injured quarterbacks, having lost superstar signal-caller Andrew Luck for more than a year as he coped with arm issues of his own. Luck has returned with a vengeance, however, leading his team back from a 1-4 hole to give Indianapolis legitimate postseason aspirations.
With home field advantage on their side – not to mention a four-game winning streak over which they’ve averaged 36.5 points per game – the Colts get the big (-8) edge on the NFL Week 12 odds in a game tagged with a (51) total.