The favorites rolled in Week 12, compiling a 10-5 record against the spread (ATS) while the betting public pummeled sportsbooks. How will they perform against the NFL Week 13 odds?
That Week 12 performance continued a season-long trend of back and forth between favorites and underdogs, which are now 88-77-8 ATS on the year. If the trend holds up, dogs could have their day once again in Week 13.
Looking ahead to the early NFL Week 13 odds, courtesy of online sportsbook Bovada, bettors should find plenty of value in taking the points.
In 2017, both the New England Patriots (8-3) and Minnesota Vikings (6-4-1) reached their respective conference championship games.
The Pats wound up in the Super Bowl while the Vikes fell just short, but with well-coached squads packed with veteran talent, both teams are capable of reaching the Big Game this year.
The only thing is, winning this game might be mandatory.
New England holds its usual perch atop the AFC East, but trails the Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) for the conference’s top seed. And with contenders like the Houston Texans (8-3) and Los Angeles Chargers (8-3) sporting identical records – along with easier schedules going forward – the Patriots might be playing in the Wild Card round for the first time since 2009.
In Minnesota, the switch from Case Keenum to Kirk Cousins at quarterback has been a mixed bag. The team’s middling record, and deep deficit in the NFC North behind the Chicago Bears (8-3), makes this Sunday a veritable “must-win.”
The Washington Redskins (6-5), Carolina Panthers (6-5), Seattle Seahawks (6-5) are all lurking for a Wild Card spot, so the Vikings simply can’t afford to lose this one.
The oddsmakers don’t like Minnesota’s chances though, and they’ll travel to Foxboro as (+6) dogs on the NFL Week 13 odds.
Last week produced three double-digit spreads, and in the end, the Saints, Chargers, and Ravens all covered easily at home.
This time around, however, bettors will see four double-digit lines on the docket – two of which involve major home dogs.
The Oakland Raiders (2-9) resemble a J.V. team at this point, what with head coach Jon Gruden stripping his newly acquired roster down to spare parts in exchange for first-round draft picks. The Raiders will be getting (+15.5) when the high-octane Chiefs crash the Black Hole.
The Detroit Lions (4-7) fired Jim Caldwell after a disappointing 9-7 run last season, but new head coach Matt Patricia must win out simply to match that mark. That’ll be tough sledding, especially with the vaunted Los Angeles Rams (10-1) offense heading to Ford Field.
The Rams are freshly rested after a 54-51 instant classic over the Chiefs, followed by their bye week, so it’s no surprise to see the Lions as (+10) home dogs.
In the other two double-digit spread affairs, the reeling Green Bay Packers (4-6-1) will attempt to save their season as enormous (-14) home favorites on the NFL Week 13 odds over the Arizona Cardinals (2-9). Meanwhile, the Seahawks look to close in on a Wild Card berth as (-10) home chalk over the foundering San Francisco 49ers (2-9).
To whet football fans’ appetite ahead of Sunday’s smorgasbord, Thursday Night Football features two NFC division leaders.
The New Orleans Saints (10-1) have stormed through the South, amassing a four-game lead over any and all comers. Even so, they’ll need a big road win over the East-leading Dallas Cowboys (6-5) to keep pace with the Rams atop the conference.
Dallas boasts a run-heavy offensive attack powered by Ezekiel Elliott, but the ‘Boys will be tested against New Orleans’ league-leading rush defense. Given the advantage offered at quarterback with the legend Drew Brees squaring off against third-year pro Dak Prescott, the Saints are big (-8) road faves in this one.