Week 9 of the NFL season is a wrap, which means all 32 teams in the league have played at least half of their schedule. Accordingly, the time has come for football bettors to take a second look at the futures betting board for the Super Bowl 53 odds.
When online sportsbook Bovada released its opening odds to win the big game back in early August, every team harbored hopes of hoisting the Lombardi Trophy by season’s end. And indeed, those opening odds offered 21 teams better than 50 to 1 on a title run.
But three months have passed since then, and in that time, the league standings have been shuffled and scrambled – creating a new class of contenders while relegating former favorites to irrelevance.
Back in the preseason, oddsmakers tabbed the New England Patriots as (+650) favorites to win their sixth Super Bowl title of the Belichick / Brady era.
And despite suffering their annual September swoon, the Pats juggernaut has returned with a vengeance. Recently acquired wideout Josh Gordon has solidified the offense, and with Brady calling the shots, New England is scoring an even 30.0 points per game (fourth in NFL). With a 7-2 record and a two-game lead in the AFC East, the Pats’ odds have improved to (+500) at the midway point.
But one team boasts better title odds, a more prolific offense, and a nearly spotless record – the Los Angeles Rams (8-1).
L.A. was ranked third overall in the preseason at (+1000) on the Super Bowl 53 odds, thanks in part to the organization’s “all-in” philosophy to offseason improvement.
Defensive stalwarts Aqib Talib, Marcus Peters, and Ndamukong Suh were brought in to shore up the Rams’ only apparent weakness, but 2018 has been all about L.A.’s explosive offense. At 33.2 points per game, the Rams just can’t be stopped, sending them to the top of the table at (+350).
The New Orleans Saints (7-1) dealt the Rams their only defeat on the year last Sunday, a 45-35 barnburner that may have been an NFC Championship Game preview. That performance upped their points per game mark to 34.9, and with the Saints riding a seven-game win streak, New Orleans has surged from (+1600) to (+500).
The league’s most potent offense, however, belongs to the Kansas City Chiefs with an astounding 36.3 points per game. And while the defense has been suspect so far, Andy Reid’s scheme and Pat Mahomes’ arm have been good enough to put on an 8-1 fireworks show.
The market wasn’t convinced that ditching veteran QB Alex Smith made sense, putting the Chiefs at (+3000) to begin the year. Those doubts have been thoroughly erased by Mahomes and his 29 touchdown tosses catapulting Kansas City to (+550).
On the other end of the spectrum, the San Francisco 49ers and Oakland Raiders offered preseason Super Bowl 53 odds of (+2200) and (+3500), respectively.
Those lines put them higher than previous champs like the Ravens, Seahawks, and Broncos, but the bottom has fallen out for both Bay Area squads.
The Niners’ season effectively ended when starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo went down in Week 2, and San Francisco currently sits at 2-7 with a league-worst (+200000) title price.
As for the Raiders, head coach Jon Gruden has torn the entire roster asunder in a blatant attempt to tank for the top draft pick in 2019. Accordingly, Oakland finds itself in a black hole at 1-7 and (+150000).
To see how Super Bowl chances for every NFL team have evolved through Week 9, check the table of current and opening odds below:
|Team||Odds to Win Super Bowl 53 on 11/6/18||Opening Odds on 8/3/18|
|Los Angeles Rams||+350||+1000|
|New England Patriots||+500||+650|
|New Orleans Saints||+500||+1600|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+550||+3000|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+1400||+2000|
|Green Bay Packers||+5000||+1200|
|New York Jets||+40000||+20000|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+50000||+7500|
|New York Giants||+100000||+5000|
|San Francisco 49ers||+200000||+2200|