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Jonathan ZaunJanuary 24, 2019
January 24, 2019

Super Bowl LIII Odds Preview and Trends

After leading yet another comeback late in the fourth quarter of the AFC Championship against the Kansas City Chiefs – followed by a cruelly clinical touchdown drive in overtime that kept Pat Mahomes and the K.C. offense off the field – Tom Brady is set to play in his ninth Super Bowl. Here is the Super Bowl LIII odds preview.

To put Brady’s nine Super Bowl appearances in 18 seasons as the Pats’ starting signal-caller in perspective, just one other quarterback in NFL history has played in at least five. And while John Elway “only” went 2-3 in the Big Game, Brady has a chance to win his sixth Lombardi Trophy.

Scandals initiated by his coaching staff or equipment team can’t change those absurd numbers, not after the 41-year old Brady brushed off a subpar season to put up 78 points in two scintillating playoff performances.

Super Bowl LIII has a Generational Clash for the Ages

Paired with 66-year-old head coach Bill Belichick, the Patriots dynasty under Brady has aged like a fine wine – despite the bitter taste endured for nearly two decades by fans of any other NFL franchise.

But when Brady and Belichick hit the field in Atlanta on February 3 for Super Bowl 53, they’ll be met by a youthful tandem donning the same duds as the first victim New England vanquished to begin their historic championship run.

The Los Angeles Rams’ resurgence after arriving from St. Louis in 2016 has been led by head coach and offensive mastermind Sean McVay, who will turn 33 this week. Belichick began his NFL coaching career seven years before McVay was even born, creating the largest age gap between two Super Bowl coaches in league history.

McVay will be calling plays for quarterback Jared Goff, a number one overall pick for L.A. in the 2016 draft – a far cry from the sixth-round flier New England took on Brady in 2000. That seemingly pointless pick produced a classic comeback victory over the Rams in Super Bowl XXXVI just one year later, kicking off Brady’s run of three titles in his first four seasons.

In less than two weeks’ time, the ageless Brady will square off against Goff – who is 17 years Brady’s junior – to decide the Super Bowl. Fittingly enough, that age gap sets another record entering Super Bowl 53, a championship game in which online sportsbook Bovada currently favors the Patriots by (-3).

New England actually opened as (+1) underdogs, but a flood of money backing the G.O.A.T. quickly sent the line soaring four points in the other direction.

Super Bowl LIII Odds: Patriots vs. Rams

The 53rd Super Bowl might not offer much in the way of variety, but football bettors have a bevy of opening bets from which to choose.

Along with the standard point spread favoring New England – who are listed as (-150) moneyline favorites at the moment – Bovada has posted a game total of 57.5 points for the Super Bowl LIII odds. That total may seem to tilt towards the high side, but in the last two Super Bowls, the Patriots have played to 62 and 74 points respectively in defeating the Atlanta Falcons (34-28 / OT) and losing to the Philadelphia Eagles (41-33).

The Rams, winners of 15 out of their 18 games during the 2018 season (regular and playoffs), have been installed as (+130) moneyline underdogs on the Super Bowl LIII odds.

L.A. scored 30 points or more in 12 of 16 regular season contests, so keeping up with Brady and the Pats offense shouldn’t be a problem. But the presence of all-world defensive tackle Aaron Donald, the league’s sack leader (20.5) and a first team NFL All-Pro, combined with Ndamukong Suh – who registered 1.5 sacks on Drew Brees last Sunday – might just give L.A. the blitzing power necessary to give Brady fits on football’s grand stage.

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