Back in early February, fresh from their astounding comeback victory in Super Bowl 51, the New England Patriots became immediate (+400) favorites to repeat via online sportsbook Bovada.
Fast forward nearly six months later, with all 32 NFL teams preparing to embark on their training camp campaigns, the champs have seen their odds to win Super Bowl 52 increase slightly to (+375).
That’s not much movement overall, but move past the Patriots and the odds have shifted significantly for their primary challengers.
When those initial odds were posted in February, it was the Dallas Cowboys offering the best chance to dethrone New England at (+750), followed by the Green Bay Packers (+1200). But following an offseason of upheaval in Dallas – where second-year star running back Ezekiel Elliott and wideout Lucky Whitehead headlined the list of Cowboys in legal trouble – those odds have flipped in favor of Aaron Rodgers and the Pack.
Today, the Cowboys are still in strong position – tied with the Seattle Seahawks, Oakland Raiders, and Pittsburgh Steelers at (+1200) – but the downgrade on the futures speaks to growing uncertainty surrounding “America’s Team.”
The Seahawks and Raiders both experienced slight bumps, moving from (+1600) to their current standing, while the Steelers are rated exactly where they were before.
The seventh-strongest contender to down the Patriots’ dynasty is, ironically enough, the same Atlanta Falcons team (+1600) that blew a 25-point lead in last year’s Super Bowl amidst New England’s furious comeback bid.
They’re the last team offering better than 20 to 1 odds on a championship, with a pack of perennial playoff teams in the Houston Texans, Denver Broncos, New York Giants, and Carolina Panthers next up at (+2200) each.
For bettors looking for dark horse candidates for a Super Bowl run, Carson Palmer and Larry Fitzgerald will look to lead the Arizona Cardinals (+3300) on one last hurrah – with both offensive stars expected to enjoy the final year of their respective standout careers.
The Miami Dolphins (+5000) also offer decent value for longshot-hunters, provided they can slay the divisional dragon posed by the Belichick / Brady tandem in the AFC East. The ‘Phins did lock up a Wild-Card berth last season – powered by breakout running back Jay Ajayi’s multiple 200-yard games and a receiving corps led by Jarvis Landry, Kenny Stills, and Devante Parker.
With last season a success for rookie head coach Adam Gase, a second go with the same offensive core should see Miami make another bid for a playoff berth.
Among the teams that are considered “dead on arrival” – offering odds of 100 to 1 or worse – are the Jacksonville Jaguars and Chicago Bears at (+10000), the Los Angeles Rams at (+15000), and the New York Jets, San Francisco 49ers, and Cleveland Browns at (+20000).
The NFL Preseason kicks off in early August, before the real deal gets underway Thursday, September 7.
|Team||SB Odds 7/24|
|New England Patriots||+375|
|Green Bay Packers||+750|
|New York Giants||+2200|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+2500|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+3300|
|New Orleans Saints||+4000|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+7500|
|Los Angeles Rams||+15000|
|New York Jets||+20000|
|San Francisco 49ers||+20000|