Super Bowl 57 MVP Odds: Joe Burrow Has Supplanted Patrick Mahomes As Favorite

When the NFL’s postseason kicked off, Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who is a lock to win regular-season MVP honors, was the NFL betting favorite to win Super Bowl MVP for the second time in his already stellar young career. That made sense considering the Chiefs were the favorites to win the big game according to Super Bowl odds, and quarterbacks usually win MVP.

Kansas City had a bye week in the Wild Card Round and beat the Jacksonville Jaguars in the Divisional Round to earn the right to host the AFC Championship Game for a record fifth straight year. Mahomes was still the Super Bowl 57 MVP favorite coming out of that Jaguars game, but his price rose a bit because Mahomes suffered an ankle injury and had to miss a bit of game time.

After the Cincinnati Bengals upset the Buffalo Bills in their AFC Divisional Round game on Sunday to earn a return trip to Kansas City for the AFC title, the Chiefs were short favorites for that game and Mahomes still the MVP favorite. However, bettors are a bit scared off by his high-ankle sprain so heavy early action on the spread has moved Cincinnati to the favored role this Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium and quarterback Joe Burrow into the +325 favored Super Bowl MVP spot.

Mahomes Could Join Rare Company

If the Bengals stick as favorites by kickoff on Sunday night, it will end Kansas City’s NFL-record streak of 14 straight games as a playoff favorite, even dating to two games before Mahomes when Alex Smith was the team’s quarterback. Mahomes is now +375 to win MVP, along with Philadelphia Eagles QB Jalen Hurts.

Mahomes was the MVP of SB LIV when he threw for 286 yards and two scores and rushed for a touchdown in a 31-20 comeback win over the San Francisco 49ers. He could become the sixth player with multiple Super Bowl MVP Awards.

No Bengals player has won Super Bowl MVP because the team has never won the big game. Had Burrow led a late comeback last year over the Los Angeles Rams in the Super Bowl, he would have won it. Burrow threw for 263 yards and a TD in the 23-20 loss. The last player who was chosen No. 1 overall in the NFL Draft to then win a Super Bowl MVP was Peyton Manning.

No rookie quarterback has ever reached a Super Bowl, but seventh-round rookie Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers would change that with an upset of Hurts and the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC title game on Sunday. Purdy is +650 for Super Bowl MVP and probably would become the most unlikely winner in history at least from a player’s standing when the regular season began.

San Francisco running back Christian McCaffrey has the shortest odds of a non-QB at +1200. The lone defensive player currently an online sports betting option is 49ers end Nick Bosa (+3300), the expected regular-season NFL Defensive Player of the Year.